Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.070944 0.083174 0.096830 0.113202 0.132294 0.153854 0.180048
2026-01-04 0.055011 0.070856 0.090221 0.115609 0.148005 0.187959 0.240991
2026-01-11 0.043595 0.061048 0.084158 0.116950 0.162259 0.222647 0.309279
2026-01-18 0.034738 0.052498 0.077790 0.116356 0.173624 0.255494 0.381481
2026-01-25 0.027259 0.044193 0.069980 0.111987 0.178621 0.280191 0.446832
2026-02-01 0.021497 0.037194 0.062627 0.106663 0.180900 0.300933 0.509802
2026-02-08 0.017676 0.032483 0.057893 0.104441 0.187449 0.329152 0.589442
2026-02-15 0.014581 0.028352 0.053288 0.101440 0.191926 0.354404 0.668262
2026-02-22 0.012638 0.025905 0.051158 0.102377 0.203426 0.393581 0.778445
2026-03-01 0.010861 0.023402 0.048433 0.101612 0.211461 0.427520 0.884456
2026-03-08 0.009124 0.020622 0.044632 0.097955 0.213032 0.449099 0.969654
2026-03-15 0.007944 0.018788 0.042421 0.097149 0.220244 0.482966 1.085544
2026-03-22 0.007167 0.017767 0.041922 0.100349 0.237528 0.542596 1.271412
2026-03-29 0.006518 0.016919 0.041669 0.104127 0.257012 0.610835 1.490193
2026-04-05 0.005858 0.015905 0.040844 0.106432 0.273622 0.675831 1.714519
2026-04-12 0.005176 0.014683 0.039276 0.106607 0.285153 0.731165 1.926699
2026-04-19 0.004423 0.013101 0.036475 0.103050 0.286559 0.762182 2.084423
2026-04-26 0.003746 0.011573 0.033506 0.098427 0.284248 0.783443 2.221242
2026-05-03 0.003274 0.010533 0.031661 0.096555 0.289131 0.824534 2.419775
2026-05-10 0.002845 0.009520 0.029685 0.093892 0.291255 0.858600 2.605642
2026-05-17 0.002580 0.008968 0.028958 0.094835 0.304237 0.925618 2.899960
2026-05-24 0.002305 0.008316 0.027791 0.094174 0.312235 0.979767 3.166812
2026-05-31 0.002002 0.007492 0.025907 0.090811 0.311064 1.006377 3.354545